USD/CAD - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	70%	50%	50%	67%	56%	56%	67%	67%	63%	56%	67%
Average return %	-0.64%	+1.08%	+0.43%	-0.24%	-0.59%	-0.63%	-0.31%	+0.17%	+0.92%	+0.75%	-0.07%	-0.61%
2026	-0.77%	+0.16%	+2.03%	-2.41%	+1.22%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+0.98%	-0.44%	-0.50%	-4.15%	-0.40%	-0.97%	+1.84%	-0.84%	+1.33%	+0.59%	-0.15%	-1.85%
2024	+1.44%	+1.07%	-0.31%	+1.79%	-1.10%	+0.37%	+0.96%	-2.28%	+0.23%	+3.02%	+0.50%	+2.71%
2023	-1.76%	+2.58%	-0.96%	+0.20%	+0.21%	-2.43%	-0.39%	+2.41%	+0.52%	+2.18%	-2.25%	-2.34%
2022	+0.51%	-0.27%	-1.33%	+2.83%	-1.63%	+1.78%	-0.61%	+2.59%	+5.34%	-1.47%	-1.48%	+0.89%
2021	+0.14%	-0.27%	-1.40%	-2.26%	-1.79%	+2.79%	+0.60%	+1.17%	+0.48%	-2.34%	+3.22%	-1.07%
2020	+2.01%	+1.34%	+4.81%	-0.81%	-1.27%	-1.41%	-1.24%	-2.68%	+2.07%	0.00%	-2.41%	-1.84%
2019	-3.83%	+0.37%	+1.32%	+0.31%	+0.95%	-3.17%	+0.79%	+0.89%	-0.51%	-0.58%	+0.84%	-2.25%
2018	-2.12%	+4.20%	+0.52%	-0.41%	+0.89%	+1.36%	-0.97%	+0.28%	-1.03%	+1.92%	+0.99%	+2.71%
2017	-3.03%	+2.09%	+0.14%	+2.51%	-1.13%	-3.97%	-3.73%	+0.02%	-0.14%	+3.40%	+0.07%	-2.45%

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Correlation

Post-election

68.46%

2001

91.00%

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Weekly average

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