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Election
85.31%
2003
87.55%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.91%
-4.73%
-6.05%
+1.70%
-2.57%
+0.16%
+2.48%
+0.05%
-2.66%
-0.68%
+0.22%
-6.33%
2026
+13.78%
-14.88%
+1.22%
-1.61%
-18.78%
-11.06%
+7.91%
+2.09%
-2.05%
--
2025
+9.91%
+3.70%
-6.69%
+13.02%
-2.11%
+2.92%
-0.73%
+10.36%
0.00%
-4.79%
+0.20%
-74.50%
2024
+5.28%
-11.39%
-4.14%
-1.14%
+3.22%
-3.34%
+3.57%
+2.34%
-3.37%
-2.70%
-4.05%
-5.18%
2023
+8.46%
-5.20%
-7.68%
+0.99%
-0.78%
-1.48%
-2.01%
+1.23%
-1.52%
-3.90%
+1.82%
+3.25%
2022
-8.48%
-3.25%
-9.08%
-5.55%
+4.11%
+0.94%
+6.89%
-6.79%
-6.82%
-0.20%
+9.15%
-2.03%
2021
-4.52%
-5.70%
+3.10%
+3.43%
-2.77%
+0.71%
+5.37%
-0.27%
-8.47%
-0.15%
-3.68%
+2.60%
2020
-2.29%
-2.34%
-23.44%
+11.13%
+1.88%
+0.46%
-0.76%
+7.86%
-7.43%
+0.31%
+4.15%
+11.23%
2019
+2.01%
-0.52%
-5.80%
+1.12%
-6.36%
+6.06%
-4.46%
-5.25%
+4.31%
+6.64%
+1.66%
+7.07%
2018
+4.98%
-6.22%
-5.17%
-1.30%
-2.76%
+1.73%
+4.50%
-3.95%
-1.94%
-1.85%
-4.65%
-1.32%
2017
-1.46%
-2.80%
-3.05%
-1.35%
+4.66%
+4.51%
-7.17%
+1.34%
+0.55%
-2.64%
+1.92%
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