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Election
73.66%
2008
77.81%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.37%
+1.96%
+4.30%
+0.14%
+1.54%
-1.54%
+2.23%
-0.52%
+3.93%
+18.64%
+1.07%
-0.79%
2026
-1.72%
+1.75%
+15.02%
-8.58%
-12.65%
-0.93%
-22.17%
+1.82%
+23.21%
--
2025
-2.53%
-12.99%
-1.49%
-1.52%
+4.62%
-4.41%
+58.46%
+46.60%
+27.81%
+2.59%
+93.94%
-36.98%
2024
-9.38%
+6.90%
-1.61%
+1.64%
+33.87%
0.00%
+6.02%
-7.95%
-29.63%
+198.25%
-24.71%
+23.44%
2023
+2.13%
-15.62%
+17.28%
-6.32%
+4.49%
+1.08%
-3.19%
-13.19%
-3.80%
-36.84%
-30.21%
-4.48%
2022
+2.97%
+5.77%
+3.64%
-0.88%
-2.65%
+0.91%
+0.90%
-2.68%
-5.50%
-2.91%
-7.00%
2021
-2.08%
-5.32%
+12.36%
+28.00%
-18.75%
-7.69%
+4.17%
+5.00%
-4.76%
+6.00%
-4.72%
2020
+16.67%
+17.53%
-11.60%
+1.87%
-1.84%
-8.13%
-7.48%
-10.29%
-4.10%
-11.97%
-6.80%
2019
-10.34%
+24.36%
+29.90%
+5.56%
+11.28%
-8.78%
-14.07%
+1.72%
+4.24%
+6.50%
-7.63%
+9.09%
2018
-10.08%
-2.80%
-14.42%
-10.11%
-5.00%
+9.66%
+4.82%
-8.05%
-6.25%
+6.67%
+8.75%
2017
-9.37%
-6.03%
-8.26%
+2.00%
+2.94%
-0.95%
-17.31%
+37.21%
+15.25%
-15.44%
+3.48%
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