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Election
85.91%
2010
88.81%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.26%
+0.95%
-6.02%
-0.40%
+1.77%
+1.27%
-1.01%
-5.64%
-2.80%
-4.16%
+8.33%
-5.02%
2026
+3.25%
+3.15%
-9.16%
+1.68%
-4.13%
-9.48%
+4.76%
-2.73%
-4.67%
--
2025
-1.67%
-0.85%
+4.27%
+5.74%
+1.55%
+2.29%
-2.24%
0.00%
-2.29%
-5.47%
2024
-19.67%
+10.20%
-6.48%
+4.95%
+14.15%
+17.36%
-10.56%
-2.36%
+9.68%
-7.35%
-4.76%
2023
-1.59%
+0.40%
-0.80%
-8.50%
+6.19%
-6.36%
-19.00%
-12.29%
-3.18%
-5.92%
-14.69%
2022
-6.99%
-1.88%
-13.79%
+1.33%
-5.26%
+3.24%
-3.14%
+6.94%
-10.82%
-31.07%
+58.45%
+12.00%
2021
-6.61%
+17.28%
-2.42%
-4.95%
-0.52%
-5.24%
-15.75%
-7.54%
+2.84%
+30.34%
+2.12%
-25.91%
2020
-10.70%
-7.08%
-31.64%
+6.29%
-6.45%
+47.70%
-0.39%
-1.37%
-16.24%
-7.80%
+1.03%
-4.06%
2019
+6.12%
-0.33%
+1.56%
-10.19%
-12.44%
+0.85%
-29.35%
+11.13%
+1.97%
+7.02%
+1.15%
2018
+4.44%
-7.14%
-3.76%
-0.34%
+0.17%
-13.12%
+2.16%
-1.34%
-12.06%
-18.58%
+19.57%
-3.41%
2017
-9.20%
-4.25%
+2.05%
+24.41%
-26.75%
+20.55%
-1.98%
+4.81%
-1.78%
-4.98%
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