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Election
96.78%
2008
94.64%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.11%
+11.73%
-2.71%
-2.94%
+0.71%
-1.01%
-0.22%
-3.81%
-3.35%
-1.91%
-2.85%
+1.52%
2026
+11.83%
+24.04%
+0.78%
-9.23%
+0.85%
-13.45%
-0.97%
-19.61%
+9.76%
--
2025
+3.90%
-6.25%
+13.33%
-21.18%
+11.94%
+1.33%
+22.37%
+7.53%
+19.00%
-4.20%
-12.28%
-7.00%
2024
-23.62%
+15.46%
-20.54%
+12.36%
-10.00%
-1.23%
0.00%
-15.00%
+17.65%
-3.75%
2023
-8.00%
+22.61%
-23.40%
-2.78%
-8.57%
+9.38%
-5.71%
-6.06%
+36.56%
2022
-1.59%
-3.23%
+8.33%
-13.85%
+6.25%
+42.86%
+10.00%
-0.53%
-22.04%
-14.48%
+15.32%
2021
-13.61%
+4.79%
+5.88%
-11.73%
+25.87%
-15.56%
-1.97%
-2.68%
-2.76%
-7.80%
-3.08%
2020
-8.63%
+64.57%
-11.48%
+8.11%
-3.00%
-2.06%
-8.42%
-1.72%
-1.17%
2019
-1.03%
+8.85%
+0.48%
-11.90%
-3.24%
-7.82%
-9.09%
-1.86%
-5.70%
-6.71%
2018
+10.34%
-6.67%
+1.79%
-5.26%
+1.85%
-12.73%
-8.33%
-6.82%
-11.71%
+6.08%
+1.04%
2017
-5.62%
+3.57%
-9.20%
-6.33%
+4.05%
-6.49%
-5.56%
+7.58%
-14.08%
-4.92%
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