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Investor Sentiment
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Probability %
Average return %
+3.75%
+1.35%
-1.73%
-1.06%
+1.44%
-1.94%
+5.70%
+0.62%
+0.90%
-3.34%
-0.21%
+4.05%
2026
+12.58%
+9.41%
-18.28%
+2.63%
-0.64%
0.00%
--
2025
-8.20%
-7.14%
+21.15%
+9.40%
+10.94%
-0.70%
-0.71%
+8.57%
+0.66%
-1.96%
2024
-5.49%
-5.81%
+1.23%
+6.10%
+11.49%
+3.09%
-3.00%
+4.12%
+15.84%
-0.85%
-6.90%
+12.96%
2023
+13.68%
-12.04%
+4.21%
+6.06%
-9.52%
+10.53%
-8.57%
-4.17%
-3.26%
-2.25%
+4.60%
2022
-11.11%
+7.69%
+18.75%
-0.75%
-4.55%
-8.73%
-6.09%
-1.85%
-16.98%
-11.36%
+20.51%
+1.06%
2021
+22.37%
+21.51%
-11.50%
+1.00%
+2.97%
+20.54%
+17.78%
-15.72%
-8.96%
-5.74%
+1.74%
2020
-6.17%
-7.69%
+7.81%
+1.45%
+4.29%
-6.85%
+1.47%
+10.14%
2019
+2.22%
+10.87%
-3.92%
-1.02%
-6.19%
-6.59%
+3.53%
-2.27%
-6.98%
-1.25%
+2.53%
2018
-6.15%
-9.02%
-9.91%
-6.00%
+12.77%
-12.26%
+4.30%
-7.22%
+12.22%
-12.87%
-1.14%
+3.45%
2017
+23.81%
-4.62%
-11.29%
-5.45%
-5.77%
+1.02%
+9.09%
+31.48%
-2.82%
-15.94%
+12.07%
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Disclaimer
Post-election
82.00%
2014
85.14%
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