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Election
86.06%
2010
87.09%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.89%
+4.56%
-2.44%
-0.14%
+0.50%
+7.15%
-7.76%
-4.04%
+6.40%
+1.49%
-4.87%
-0.76%
2026
+60.42%
+5.19%
-24.69%
-14.75%
+23.08%
-14.06%
+3.64%
-19.30%
-2.17%
--
2025
-10.81%
+24.24%
+17.07%
+8.33%
+67.31%
+26.44%
-15.45%
+17.20%
-16.51%
-6.59%
-14.12%
-34.25%
2024
-33.96%
+5.71%
0.00%
+5.41%
+7.69%
-21.43%
+9.09%
-22.22%
+75.00%
-32.65%
+12.12%
2023
-3.37%
+4.65%
+15.56%
-3.85%
-18.00%
+10.98%
-10.99%
-25.93%
-5.00%
+3.51%
-1.69%
-8.62%
2022
-9.21%
-7.97%
-9.45%
-5.22%
-9.17%
+43.43%
-9.86%
-13.28%
-14.41%
-10.53%
-8.24%
+14.10%
2021
-13.04%
-6.25%
+1.33%
-7.25%
-12.50%
-17.50%
-17.75%
-17.89%
-2.56%
2020
-14.37%
-4.38%
-4.58%
-6.40%
-24.79%
-5.68%
-18.07%
-7.35%
+39.39%
2019
+8.42%
+9.71%
+2.65%
+13.79%
-11.36%
-9.40%
-5.66%
-3.00%
+26.80%
+1.63%
+2.40%
+25.00%
2018
+6.78%
-6.35%
-5.08%
+62.50%
-25.27%
+12.94%
+100.00%
-1.04%
-50.00%
2017
+1.69%
-8.33%
-13.98%
+7.50%
+18.60%
+3.92%
-1.89%
+1.92%
+7.55%
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