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Election
84.90%
2000
87.53%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.85%
+0.17%
-5.43%
+2.17%
-1.72%
-3.23%
+1.13%
-2.03%
-1.93%
-0.07%
+1.85%
+1.31%
2026
-3.62%
-12.03%
-21.79%
+3.83%
-10.00%
-15.20%
+18.62%
-9.88%
-7.10%
--
2025
+1.43%
-3.17%
+2.18%
-0.36%
-0.71%
+6.47%
+3.04%
-3.28%
-5.76%
+0.36%
-2.50%
2024
-1.31%
+11.95%
-6.32%
+5.49%
+6.00%
-2.64%
+0.78%
+23.93%
-2.41%
-5.30%
+4.48%
2023
+4.38%
-3.69%
+0.70%
+5.54%
-10.49%
-7.14%
+0.39%
-19.25%
-11.68%
-20.66%
-1.74%
-19.08%
2022
+9.43%
-4.21%
-8.20%
-5.66%
+6.24%
+16.30%
-13.64%
+6.93%
-13.97%
0.00%
+18.35%
+13.52%
2021
-7.00%
+1.17%
-6.61%
-7.26%
-13.40%
+5.16%
-2.13%
+10.02%
-10.10%
+5.07%
2020
-16.82%
-3.18%
-18.75%
+5.67%
-7.47%
+0.41%
+5.36%
+7.24%
-15.15%
+1.72%
+22.83%
+10.67%
2019
-11.79%
+7.09%
-5.10%
-6.31%
-5.01%
+3.32%
-9.49%
+6.13%
+1.67%
+11.06%
-0.40%
+2.03%
2018
+0.68%
-2.53%
-8.82%
+2.09%
+7.81%
-28.71%
+7.86%
-6.28%
+13.76%
-10.73%
+2.47%
-4.48%
2017
-3.83%
+10.34%
+11.78%
+18.06%
+3.64%
-3.34%
+11.82%
+2.93%
-8.06%
+9.97%
-9.84%
+2.08%
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