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Election
91.01%
2008
96.65%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.25%
+2.17%
-10.22%
+2.10%
+13.31%
-2.11%
-10.80%
-5.87%
-4.76%
+2.39%
+5.82%
-6.77%
2026
+5.63%
+6.51%
0.00%
-5.56%
+2.94%
-21.14%
-9.42%
-1.60%
-5.69%
--
2025
-17.53%
-2.50%
-14.74%
+11.28%
-5.41%
-5.71%
+13.64%
+0.67%
+9.27%
+1.21%
+18.56%
-19.19%
2024
-5.30%
-23.20%
-11.46%
+65.88%
-11.35%
-8.00%
+0.87%
+72.41%
+15.00%
-15.65%
2023
+22.22%
-13.64%
-5.26%
-11.11%
-18.75%
+23.08%
-23.08%
+4.50%
-18.66%
-22.35%
2022
-5.00%
+10.53%
+14.29%
+16.67%
-21.43%
-4.55%
-9.52%
-15.79%
+12.50%
2021
-9.09%
+50.00%
-26.67%
+9.09%
+33.33%
-6.25%
-20.00%
+8.33%
+5.00%
2020
-9.68%
-28.57%
+20.00%
+37.50%
-16.67%
-4.35%
-4.17%
2019
-4.84%
+25.42%
-8.11%
-10.29%
-22.95%
+8.51%
-17.65%
-2.38%
-4.88%
-17.95%
-3.12%
2018
-6.38%
-5.95%
+8.86%
+30.23%
-2.68%
-8.26%
-19.00%
-13.58%
-35.71%
+42.22%
2017
+2.76%
-6.71%
+3.60%
-11.81%
-3.94%
-13.11%
-9.43%
-1.04%
+3.23%
-8.33%
+6.82%
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