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Election
45.00%
2008
84.79%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.88%
+1.73%
-7.06%
+3.68%
-5.41%
+2.17%
+3.63%
+9.37%
+1.21%
-0.41%
+11.00%
+2.60%
2026
+11.04%
+23.68%
-26.71%
+9.35%
+3.80%
-17.18%
+9.86%
-4.02%
--
2025
-2.66%
-2.19%
+15.64%
+1.93%
-10.43%
+6.35%
+1.00%
+23.65%
+5.98%
+10.90%
+6.44%
-2.87%
2024
-20.00%
+7.14%
-8.33%
+3.03%
+5.29%
+1.68%
-15.93%
+12.42%
+22.09%
-14.76%
+16.76%
-10.05%
2023
+15.97%
-13.77%
-12.15%
-5.93%
-11.34%
-9.95%
+34.21%
+3.92%
-3.77%
-9.80%
+1.74%
-10.26%
2022
-19.29%
-4.16%
-13.28%
-18.13%
-0.76%
+8.85%
0.00%
-6.71%
-19.70%
+2.83%
+45.41%
-9.15%
2021
+25.72%
-11.49%
+25.71%
-28.31%
-4.61%
+18.43%
+30.87%
-9.36%
+1.08%
-3.19%
+4.84%
2020
-18.77%
+5.30%
-2.88%
-8.89%
-10.16%
+13.12%
+1.60%
+2.36%
-4.23%
+4.42%
+30.38%
+2.06%
2019
-9.73%
+6.59%
+3.37%
+12.50%
+20.77%
-1.20%
-1.62%
+17.77%
-1.75%
+8.21%
+7.26%
2018
+15.38%
+11.11%
-9.33%
+28.68%
-5.71%
+0.61%
-4.82%
+17.72%
-6.45%
-3.45%
+10.12%
2017
-16.36%
-5.43%
-14.29%
+20.59%
+8.54%
-3.26%
+31.46%
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