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Election
91.75%
2008
91.54%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.14%
+2.07%
-0.21%
+3.29%
+4.68%
+2.86%
-5.54%
-3.36%
-2.15%
-2.97%
-1.78%
+0.26%
2026
-7.46%
-1.61%
-16.39%
+13.73%
+68.97%
-5.10%
-15.05%
-15.82%
-11.28%
--
2025
+2.27%
-2.22%
+10.23%
-15.46%
+4.88%
+16.28%
-7.00%
+5.38%
+26.53%
+8.06%
-1.49%
+1.52%
2024
-4.12%
+18.28%
-10.00%
-2.02%
+3.09%
+20.00%
-26.67%
+6.82%
-10.64%
+9.52%
0.00%
-4.35%
2023
-8.33%
-12.12%
+17.24%
+3.45%
+5.00%
-3.17%
-4.92%
-1.72%
-5.26%
-12.96%
+3.19%
2022
-3.39%
+5.26%
-13.33%
-3.85%
+12.00%
+10.71%
+1.61%
-1.59%
-19.35%
-14.00%
+25.58%
2021
-18.00%
+19.51%
-19.39%
-3.80%
-11.84%
-4.55%
-4.84%
2020
-8.05%
-3.75%
-24.68%
+65.52%
+4.17%
+10.00%
-7.27%
+7.84%
-5.45%
-2.00%
+2.04%
2019
+3.39%
+0.82%
-12.20%
-15.74%
-38.46%
-8.93%
-1.96%
+4.44%
-2.13%
-1.14%
2018
+5.91%
-7.06%
+4.00%
-3.08%
-15.08%
-7.01%
-2.01%
-17.44%
-9.32%
-12.33%
-6.25%
-1.67%
2017
-1.62%
+41.12%
+23.54%
-0.57%
+3.80%
-8.59%
+18.00%
-2.37%
-3.82%
-2.17%
-12.92%
+7.63%
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