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Election
55.21%
2023
68.04%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.03%
+2.54%
+3.11%
-2.30%
-1.76%
+4.34%
-7.82%
+0.60%
+4.09%
-0.39%
-5.29%
+6.25%
2026
-3.57%
+2.78%
+8.11%
+10.00%
-7.58%
-9.02%
-9.91%
+19.00%
+6.72%
--
2025
+8.33%
-7.69%
-7.50%
+6.31%
+0.85%
+0.84%
-3.33%
-4.31%
-5.41%
+4.76%
-4.55%
+6.67%
2024
-7.76%
0.00%
+5.61%
+4.42%
+12.71%
-15.79%
+5.36%
+1.69%
-11.67%
-2.83%
+16.50%
-17.65%
+1.02%
+1.01%
+1.00%
-4.95%
+11.46%
+17.76%
-3.17%
-8.20%
+3.57%
2022
-5.00%
-18.80%
-17.09%
-13.40%
+34.52%
-11.50%
-1.00%
+4.04%
-6.80%
+4.17%
+18.00%
2021
-6.25%
+81.90%
+6.81%
-21.57%
+3.12%
-17.58%
-5.15%
-2.33%
+3.97%
+9.92%
-5.56%
+2.94%
2020
-1.06%
-19.79%
+3.33%
-7.74%
-4.90%
+10.29%
-8.67%
-6.57%
+1.56%
-1.54%
-14.06%
+1.82%
2019
+3.78%
+2.60%
-3.55%
+2.63%
-1.04%
-0.52%
-8.42%
+8.05%
-2.66%
-3.83%
+7.39%
2018
-4.33%
+5.03%
+11.96%
-4.70%
+0.90%
-3.56%
-7.37%
-0.50%
-2.00%
-3.06%
-2.63%
2017
+4.69%
-2.99%
+2.56%
+2.50%
-0.98%
+16.26%
-11.02%
-6.67%
+7.14%
+7.62%
-9.73%
+1.96%
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