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Election
89.09%
2020
91.48%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.35%
+3.62%
+0.86%
+1.91%
+2.35%
-6.47%
-2.46%
+5.77%
-3.48%
-2.28%
+0.14%
-0.04%
2026
-1.23%
+2.17%
-18.54%
+8.58%
-9.97%
-12.21%
+3.48%
+10.50%
-1.52%
--
2025
-2.62%
+3.37%
-1.95%
-19.60%
+3.72%
-3.19%
+18.93%
+20.76%
-0.86%
-5.20%
+2.13%
-2.69%
2024
-3.60%
+3.74%
+31.53%
+41.10%
+18.45%
-11.48%
+5.09%
+9.25%
-6.45%
+13.36%
+9.89%
+5.54%
2023
-4.27%
+5.36%
-4.24%
-1.77%
-11.71%
+9.18%
-3.74%
+10.68%
-12.28%
+4.00%
+3.85%
+2.78%
2022
+10.53%
-4.76%
0.00%
-0.91%
-6.42%
-3.92%
-12.24%
-11.05%
-15.69%
-13.95%
-0.90%
+6.36%
2021
+13.60%
+23.94%
-1.70%
+31.21%
+27.75%
-16.55%
-4.96%
+20.00%
-13.04%
-1.67%
-6.36%
-5.43%
-4.55%
-9.52%
-20.53%
-24.50%
+5.26%
-8.33%
+10.48%
+9.48%
+4.72%
-2.26%
-3.85%
2019
-4.57%
+25.00%
+28.51%
-5.30%
-3.15%
-2.53%
-2.22%
-3.79%
+5.12%
-1.12%
-23.86%
+9.45%
2018
-3.32%
-9.87%
-8.81%
-19.32%
-2.91%
-15.67%
+14.62%
-11.72%
+1.95%
-23.37%
+9.50%
-10.05%
2017
+3.52%
-3.24%
+4.36%
+9.63%
+2.49%
-39.00%
+2.58%
+0.46%
+2.73%
+9.29%
-2.43%
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