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Pre-election
53.51%
2004
63.52%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.51%
+3.88%
-2.41%
-3.00%
+2.13%
-3.41%
-3.65%
+2.47%
-4.82%
-5.41%
-0.59%
+12.17%
2026
-13.24%
0.00%
-3.39%
+15.79%
+3.03%
+8.82%
+6.76%
-6.33%
+2.70%
--
2025
-12.50%
+2.38%
-4.65%
+13.41%
-5.38%
+9.09%
+4.17%
+32.00%
-16.67%
-3.64%
+1.89%
+29.63%
2024
-8.20%
-5.36%
-3.77%
+37.25%
-24.29%
-13.21%
+6.52%
+12.24%
-10.00%
-3.03%
2023
+27.85%
-6.93%
-19.79%
-9.09%
+1.43%
-5.63%
+5.97%
-8.45%
-4.62%
+3.23%
-4.69%
2022
-10.53%
+5.88%
-11.11%
-5.47%
+3.31%
-3.20%
-16.53%
+1.98%
-2.91%
-25.00%
+10.67%
2021
-21.57%
+31.25%
+21.90%
+7.03%
+44.53%
-14.65%
-21.30%
+27.82%
-10.59%
+1.32%
-12.99%
+13.43%
2020
-3.49%
-12.05%
-15.07%
-12.90%
-5.56%
+19.61%
+3.28%
-19.05%
-1.96%
+20.00%
+70.00%
2019
-6.67%
+10.71%
-6.45%
-3.45%
-35.71%
-10.94%
-2.63%
-1.80%
-11.01%
+2.06%
-13.13%
2018
-22.22%
-10.20%
+22.73%
-18.52%
+4.55%
-13.04%
+2.50%
-12.20%
+2.78%
-8.11%
-2.94%
2017
+5.49%
+17.71%
-24.78%
-2.35%
-15.66%
+12.86%
-15.19%
-11.94%
+6.78%
-7.94%
-17.24%
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