Dow Jones Industrial Average - Seasonality

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Dow Jones Industrial Average - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	56%	56%	67%	78%	67%	100%	67%	56%	56%	89%	67%
Average return %	+1.76%	-1.09%	-1.04%	+0.82%	+0.41%	+1.46%	+2.94%	+0.89%	-1.03%	+1.64%	+4.40%	-0.03%
2026	+1.73%	+1.05%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+4.70%	-1.58%	-4.20%	-3.17%	+3.94%	+4.32%	+0.08%	+3.20%	+1.87%	+2.51%	+0.32%	+0.73%
2024	+1.22%	+2.22%	+2.08%	-5.00%	+2.30%	+1.12%	+4.41%	+1.76%	+1.85%	-1.34%	+7.54%	-5.27%
2023	+2.83%	-4.19%	+1.89%	+2.48%	-3.49%	+4.56%	+3.35%	-2.36%	-3.50%	-1.36%	+8.77%	+4.84%
2022	-3.32%	-3.53%	+2.32%	-4.91%	+0.04%	-6.71%	+6.73%	-4.06%	-8.84%	+13.95%	+5.67%	-4.17%
2021	-2.04%	+3.17%	+6.62%	+2.71%	+1.93%	-0.08%	+1.25%	+1.22%	-4.29%	+5.84%	-3.73%	+5.38%
2020	-0.99%	-10.07%	-13.74%	+11.08%	+4.26%	+1.69%	+2.38%	+7.57%	-2.28%	-4.61%	+11.84%	+3.27%
2019	+7.17%	+3.67%	+0.05%	+2.56%	-6.69%	+7.19%	+0.99%	-1.72%	+1.95%	+0.48%	+3.72%	+1.74%
2018	+5.79%	-4.28%	-3.70%	+0.25%	+1.05%	-0.59%	+4.71%	+2.16%	+1.90%	-5.07%	+1.68%	-8.66%
2017	+0.51%	+4.77%	-0.72%	+1.34%	+0.33%	+1.62%	+2.54%	+0.26%	+2.08%	+4.34%	+3.83%	+1.84%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

92.46%

2004

94.58%

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Weekly average

Monthly average