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Election
83.84%
2000
90.14%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.32%
+0.35%
-1.48%
+0.66%
-1.64%
-0.58%
+0.15%
-0.89%
-0.36%
-2.35%
+3.10%
+1.36%
2026
+4.53%
-4.91%
-5.48%
+3.67%
-2.95%
-10.30%
+13.94%
-1.15%
-3.38%
--
2025
+1.27%
+14.02%
+1.18%
-5.17%
+4.41%
+2.92%
+2.36%
+0.73%
+6.79%
-4.05%
-0.42%
-2.37%
2024
-9.96%
+9.32%
+2.34%
+7.97%
+1.89%
-0.95%
-3.55%
+18.62%
-3.27%
-4.37%
+4.94%
2023
+10.74%
-11.36%
+5.89%
-3.83%
-8.04%
+4.24%
+7.38%
-8.22%
-2.91%
-4.66%
-0.07%
-1.52%
2022
+1.38%
-3.90%
-6.21%
-3.02%
+1.62%
+3.37%
-10.19%
-0.30%
-13.85%
-16.49%
+29.07%
+5.18%
2021
+4.38%
+0.34%
-2.45%
-1.34%
+0.59%
-2.07%
-13.41%
-0.54%
-4.98%
+2.70%
-6.62%
-1.58%
2020
-8.31%
+0.60%
-6.87%
+4.65%
-4.78%
+2.07%
+2.88%
-0.48%
-5.95%
+3.86%
+8.06%
+1.82%
2019
+9.00%
+3.01%
+0.11%
+1.43%
-10.01%
+4.76%
-1.90%
-5.55%
+1.17%
+3.26%
-2.20%
+8.41%
2018
+15.82%
-8.70%
-3.10%
+2.78%
-2.86%
-7.56%
-0.44%
-1.35%
+1.31%
-7.98%
+4.77%
-4.68%
2017
+4.36%
+5.04%
-0.24%
-0.52%
+3.75%
-2.24%
+4.46%
+4.32%
-3.41%
+5.48%
-0.28%
+2.04%
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