Hang Seng Index - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	50%	56%	67%	56%	67%	56%	56%	67%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	+3.21%	+0.30%	-1.14%	+0.98%	-1.26%	+1.55%	-0.89%	-1.10%	-0.50%	-2.72%	+3.42%	+2.10%
2026	+6.85%	-2.76%	-2.99%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+0.82%	+13.43%	+0.78%	-4.33%	+5.29%	+3.36%	+2.91%	+1.23%	+7.09%	-3.53%	-0.18%	-0.88%
2024	-9.16%	+6.63%	+0.18%	+7.39%	+1.78%	-2.00%	-2.11%	+3.72%	+17.48%	-3.86%	-4.40%	+3.28%
2023	+10.42%	-9.41%	+3.10%	-2.48%	-8.35%	+3.74%	+6.15%	-8.45%	-3.11%	-3.91%	-0.41%	+0.03%
2022	+1.73%	-4.58%	-3.15%	-4.13%	+1.54%	+2.08%	-7.79%	-1.00%	-13.69%	-14.72%	+26.62%	+6.37%
2021	+3.87%	+2.46%	-2.08%	+1.22%	+1.49%	-1.11%	-9.94%	-0.32%	-5.04%	+3.26%	-7.49%	-0.33%
2020	-6.66%	-0.69%	-9.67%	+4.41%	-6.83%	+6.38%	+0.69%	+2.37%	-6.82%	+2.76%	+9.27%	+3.38%
2019	+8.11%	+2.47%	+1.46%	+2.23%	-9.42%	+6.10%	-2.68%	-7.39%	+1.43%	+3.12%	-2.08%	+7.00%
2018	+9.92%	-6.21%	-2.44%	+2.38%	-1.10%	-4.97%	-1.29%	-2.43%	-0.36%	-10.11%	+6.11%	-2.49%
2017	+6.18%	+1.63%	+1.56%	+2.09%	+4.25%	+0.41%	+6.05%	+2.37%	-1.49%	+2.51%	+3.30%	+2.54%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Post-election

87.66%

2013

84.57%

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Weekly average

Monthly average