IBEX 35 - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	67%	89%	67%	56%	67%	56%	56%	56%	67%	56%
Average return %	+2.23%	+1.06%	-0.47%	+1.74%	+0.96%	-0.98%	-0.07%	-0.34%	+0.20%	+0.09%	+3.94%	+0.40%
2026	+3.31%	+2.68%	-6.92%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+6.67%	+7.91%	-1.59%	+1.16%	+6.51%	-1.13%	+2.90%	+3.74%	+3.61%	+3.60%	+2.11%	+5.72%
2024	-0.24%	-0.76%	+10.73%	-1.99%	+4.31%	-3.34%	+1.11%	+3.04%	+4.17%	-1.72%	-0.27%	-0.40%
2023	+9.78%	+3.99%	-1.73%	+0.09%	-2.06%	+6.00%	+0.51%	-1.41%	-0.82%	-4.36%	+11.54%	+0.44%
2022	-1.16%	-1.55%	-0.40%	+1.65%	+3.11%	-8.50%	+0.71%	-3.31%	-6.59%	+8.00%	+5.11%	-1.60%
2021	-3.92%	+6.03%	+4.32%	+2.74%	+3.79%	-3.58%	-1.65%	+1.97%	-0.57%	+2.97%	-8.31%	+4.92%
2020	-1.90%	-6.88%	-22.21%	+2.02%	+2.52%	+1.90%	-4.90%	+1.34%	-3.63%	-3.94%	+25.18%	-0.04%
2019	+6.05%	+2.44%	-0.40%	+3.57%	-5.92%	+2.16%	-2.48%	-1.76%	+4.90%	+0.14%	+1.02%	+2.11%
2018	+4.06%	-5.85%	-2.44%	+3.96%	-5.16%	+1.66%	+2.58%	-4.78%	-0.11%	-5.28%	+2.07%	-5.92%
2017	-0.39%	+2.58%	+9.50%	+2.42%	+1.53%	-4.00%	+0.55%	-1.93%	+0.80%	+1.37%	-2.97%	-1.64%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

83.17%

2007

84.60%

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Weekly average

Monthly average