S&P Merval - Seasonality

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S&P Merval - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

90.55%

2007

92.02%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	80%	50%	50%	90%	50%	80%	60%	56%	89%	67%	78%
Average return %	+11.53%	-7.93%	+0.69%	+3.85%	+11.70%	+2.55%	+10.26%	+2.66%	+0.95%	+13.65%	+10.24%	+8.35%
2026	+4.85%	-17.42%	+13.46%	-5.50%	+11.77%	+0.07%	+3.87%	-7.82%	-0.39%	--	--	--
2025	+1.22%	-13.99%	+6.03%	-10.17%	+8.48%	-12.47%	+16.28%	-14.43%	-10.65%	+69.31%	+0.79%	+0.83%
2024	+35.59%	-19.50%	+19.59%	+9.07%	+24.77%	-2.43%	-8.03%	+15.91%	-1.17%	+8.92%	+22.15%	+12.19%
2023	+25.47%	-2.40%	-0.70%	+21.26%	+14.81%	+24.61%	+7.24%	+42.98%	-13.93%	+3.43%	+39.78%	+14.30%
2022	+8.87%	-3.23%	+3.40%	-2.98%	+4.57%	-4.16%	+38.53%	+11.19%	+2.11%	+7.78%	+12.40%	+19.91%
2021	-5.80%	+0.36%	-0.93%	+2.24%	+20.82%	+5.24%	+5.83%	+15.83%	+1.19%	+8.01%	-5.08%	+5.28%
2020	-3.76%	-12.80%	-31.21%	+36.10%	+15.52%	+2.28%	+27.31%	-4.91%	-11.90%	+9.77%	+20.50%	-6.13%
2019	+19.92%	-5.07%	-2.96%	-11.64%	+14.81%	+23.11%	+0.63%	-41.49%	+18.12%	+20.40%	-1.41%	+20.79%
2018	+16.21%	-5.52%	-5.74%	-3.56%	-4.82%	-8.83%	+12.48%	+0.02%	+14.23%	-11.87%	+6.75%	-3.78%
2017	+12.68%	+0.29%	+6.00%	+3.72%	+6.32%	-1.95%	-1.51%	+9.30%	+10.55%	+7.12%	-3.69%	+11.75%

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