S&P Mid-Cap 400 Index - Seasonality

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S&P Mid-Cap 400 Index - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	60%	50%	70%	67%	100%	56%	56%	56%	89%	56%
Average return %	+2.14%	+0.35%	-2.45%	+1.42%	+1.15%	+1.10%	+3.39%	-0.12%	-1.73%	+0.58%	+5.02%	-0.23%
2026	+3.99%	+4.02%	-5.56%	+7.80%	+2.34%	-1.32%	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+3.78%	-4.44%	-5.68%	-2.32%	+5.25%	+3.38%	+1.56%	+3.26%	+0.29%	-0.53%	+1.92%	-0.10%
2024	-1.78%	+5.80%	+5.39%	-6.08%	+4.25%	-1.77%	+5.73%	-0.20%	+0.97%	-0.77%	+8.66%	-7.28%
2023	+9.14%	-1.95%	-3.41%	-0.87%	-3.36%	+8.96%	+4.05%	-3.04%	-5.42%	-5.42%	+8.33%	+8.50%
2022	-7.27%	+0.99%	+1.21%	-7.18%	+0.58%	-9.78%	+10.75%	-3.25%	-9.36%	+10.42%	+5.95%	-5.72%
2021	+1.45%	+6.67%	+4.53%	+4.44%	+0.08%	-1.15%	+0.28%	+1.83%	-4.09%	+5.82%	-3.06%	+4.92%
2020	-2.70%	-9.63%	-20.43%	+14.06%	+7.14%	+1.09%	+4.53%	+3.36%	-3.39%	+2.09%	+14.12%	+6.37%
2019	+10.36%	+4.08%	-0.74%	+3.93%	-8.13%	+7.46%	+1.09%	-4.35%	+2.89%	+1.03%	+2.80%	+2.63%
2018	+2.81%	-4.57%	+0.76%	-0.34%	+3.95%	+0.27%	+1.68%	+3.03%	-1.23%	-9.63%	+2.93%	-11.48%
2017	+1.60%	+2.50%	-0.56%	+0.76%	-0.64%	+1.45%	+0.80%	-1.69%	+3.76%	+2.18%	+3.49%	+0.07%

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Correlation

Pre-election

96.96%

2009

94.86%

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Weekly average

Monthly average