ICE BofAML MOVE Index - Seasonality

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ICE BofAML MOVE Index - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

2007

74.10%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	80%	60%	70%	70%	60%	60%	60%	56%	67%	78%	56%
Average return %	-0.79%	+19.41%	-0.32%	-6.21%	+0.13%	+1.53%	-6.73%	+8.40%	-2.88%	+15.34%	-11.41%	+3.21%
2026	-7.44%	+23.95%	+30.89%	-22.61%	-2.57%	+2.48%	+15.37%	-9.27%	+1.19%	--	--	--
2025	-7.13%	+13.84%	-2.98%	+10.77%	-17.96%	-2.01%	-11.54%	-0.56%	-1.84%	-14.53%	+7.94%	-11.02%
2024	-6.40%	+1.70%	-20.82%	+24.40%	-15.19%	+8.17%	+0.83%	+8.41%	-12.21%	+42.88%	-29.56%	+3.76%
2023	-18.15%	+24.17%	+9.98%	-9.91%	+11.07%	-18.66%	+1.26%	-3.66%	+5.21%	+11.72%	-9.10%	-0.61%
2022	+10.43%	+17.92%	+6.45%	+20.13%	-16.57%	+26.49%	-14.13%	+7.29%	+13.66%	+4.25%	-13.96%	-4.45%
2021	-3.21%	+59.59%	-5.80%	-18.44%	-10.48%	+10.05%	+6.84%	-2.70%	+2.57%	+23.55%	+11.39%	-8.26%
2020	+25.22%	+50.27%	-23.53%	-36.10%	-3.81%	+5.00%	-22.45%	+12.01%	-16.61%	+57.89%	-34.03%	+19.93%
2019	-25.19%	-5.20%	+23.99%	-15.51%	+46.92%	-3.10%	-21.55%	+57.27%	-11.15%	-14.66%	-14.13%	+3.02%
2018	+22.75%	+10.09%	-7.04%	-13.99%	+20.24%	-15.48%	-9.13%	+9.05%	-8.97%	+30.26%	-12.81%	+26.99%
2017	+1.24%	-2.25%	-14.37%	-0.84%	-10.37%	+2.35%	-12.82%	+6.21%	+3.42%	-3.27%	-8.45%	-0.49%

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