Nikkei 225 - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	60%	56%	67%	78%	78%	56%	56%	67%	56%	67%	67%
Average return %	+1.58%	+0.56%	-0.95%	+1.38%	+1.83%	+2.33%	-0.07%	+0.88%	+1.39%	+2.72%	+2.41%	-0.40%
2026	+5.93%	+10.37%	-8.66%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	-0.81%	-6.11%	-4.14%	+1.20%	+5.33%	+6.64%	+1.44%	+4.01%	+5.18%	+16.64%	-4.12%	+0.17%
2024	+8.43%	+7.94%	+3.07%	-4.86%	+0.21%	+2.85%	-1.22%	-1.16%	-1.88%	+3.06%	-2.23%	+4.41%
2023	+4.72%	+0.43%	+2.17%	+2.91%	+7.04%	+7.45%	-0.05%	-1.67%	-2.33%	-3.14%	+8.52%	-0.07%
2022	-6.22%	-1.76%	+4.88%	-3.50%	+1.61%	-3.25%	+5.34%	+1.04%	-7.67%	+6.36%	+1.38%	-6.70%
2021	+0.80%	+4.71%	+0.73%	-1.26%	+0.17%	-0.24%	-5.24%	+2.95%	+4.85%	-1.90%	-3.71%	+3.49%
2020	-1.91%	-8.89%	-10.53%	+6.75%	+8.34%	+1.87%	-2.59%	+6.59%	+0.20%	-0.90%	+15.04%	+3.82%
2019	+3.79%	+2.94%	-0.84%	+4.97%	-7.45%	+3.28%	+1.15%	-3.80%	+5.08%	+5.38%	+1.60%	+1.56%
2018	+1.46%	-4.46%	-2.78%	+4.72%	-1.18%	+0.46%	+1.12%	+1.38%	+5.49%	-9.12%	+1.96%	-10.45%
2017	-0.38%	+0.41%	-1.10%	+1.52%	+2.36%	+1.95%	-0.54%	-1.40%	+3.61%	+8.13%	+3.24%	+0.18%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

90.74%

2024

94.11%

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Weekly average

Monthly average