NASDAQ 100 - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	90%	70%	60%	80%	67%	78%	89%	67%	67%	56%	78%	67%
Average return %	+3.36%	-0.54%	-0.20%	+2.94%	+2.99%	+3.20%	+4.05%	+1.78%	-2.11%	+1.18%	+4.23%	-0.25%
2026	+1.20%	-2.32%	-4.89%	+15.64%	+6.09%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+2.22%	-2.76%	-7.69%	+1.52%	+9.04%	+6.27%	+2.38%	+0.85%	+5.40%	+4.77%	-1.64%	-0.73%
2024	+1.85%	+5.29%	+1.17%	-4.46%	+6.28%	+6.18%	-1.63%	+1.10%	+2.48%	-0.85%	+5.23%	+0.39%
2023	+10.62%	-0.49%	+9.46%	+0.49%	+7.61%	+6.49%	+3.81%	-1.62%	-5.07%	-2.08%	+10.67%	+5.51%
2022	-8.52%	-4.64%	+4.22%	-13.37%	-1.65%	-9.00%	+12.55%	-5.22%	-10.60%	+3.96%	+5.48%	-9.06%
2021	+0.29%	-0.12%	+1.41%	+5.88%	-1.26%	+6.34%	+2.78%	+4.16%	-5.73%	+7.90%	+1.80%	+1.14%
2020	+2.96%	-5.89%	-7.66%	+15.19%	+6.17%	+6.29%	+7.37%	+11.05%	-5.72%	-3.20%	+11.00%	+5.05%
2019	+9.11%	+2.76%	+3.96%	+5.46%	-8.40%	+7.62%	+2.32%	-2.01%	+0.76%	+4.31%	+3.96%	+3.92%
2018	+8.65%	-1.38%	-3.99%	+0.37%	+5.48%	+1.05%	+2.72%	+5.84%	-0.35%	-8.66%	-0.26%	-8.91%
2017	+5.20%	+4.17%	+1.99%	+2.71%	+3.68%	-2.45%	+4.13%	+1.84%	-0.16%	+4.50%	+1.87%	+0.48%

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Correlation

Pre-election

93.05%

1996

93.58%

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Weekly average

Monthly average