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Election
58.38%
2008
76.89%
Probability %
Average return %
+10.34%
+3.72%
+27.84%
+1.83%
-0.73%
-11.00%
+0.80%
-6.40%
+13.79%
+10.39%
+13.38%
-17.84%
2026
+85.32%
+15.69%
+38.20%
-16.01%
-22.96%
-25.36%
+46.03%
-28.76%
+12.20%
--
2025
-0.20%
+0.03%
+3.04%
+76.36%
-25.25%
-4.47%
-5.43%
-11.28%
+9.04%
+1.74%
-0.69%
-16.08%
2024
+2.84%
-15.44%
-16.60%
+6.09%
+8.86%
-12.52%
+26.94%
-0.98%
+19.48%
+22.40%
-28.37%
-14.11%
2023
-6.57%
-8.12%
+13.89%
-11.68%
+14.17%
-18.19%
-14.42%
-6.74%
+21.39%
+30.24%
-6.17%
-8.07%
2022
-0.63%
+23.97%
+9.83%
-7.91%
-6.18%
-1.85%
-5.54%
+12.82%
+6.87%
-14.87%
-2.66%
-10.60%
2021
+6.26%
+5.70%
+7.44%
-15.90%
-12.63%
-2.39%
+0.34%
+4.35%
+12.84%
-1.96%
+98.39%
-43.35%
2020
+42.58%
+27.01%
+232.78%
-38.45%
-34.05%
-16.71%
-22.94%
-26.65%
+35.01%
+56.45%
-31.19%
-20.14%
2019
-32.58%
-13.44%
-11.63%
+9.57%
+60.05%
-15.88%
-22.02%
+4.52%
+20.49%
-7.51%
+2.48%
-22.95%
2018
+4.78%
+20.50%
-6.87%
+12.80%
-2.37%
-1.56%
-2.43%
-5.66%
+6.83%
+12.68%
+86.06%
-7.44%
2017
+1.62%
-18.74%
+8.37%
+3.48%
+13.10%
-11.12%
+7.46%
-5.64%
-7.80%
-5.67%
+2.53%
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