S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary (Sector) - Seasonality

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S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary (Sector) - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	70%	67%	56%	67%	78%	100%	56%	56%	56%	89%	67%
Average return %	+3.25%	-2.24%	-0.85%	+2.13%	+0.43%	+2.94%	+4.38%	+1.03%	-0.87%	-0.51%	+4.60%	-0.40%
2026	+1.70%	-5.42%	-7.01%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+4.39%	-9.42%	-9.02%	-0.34%	+9.38%	+2.12%	+2.62%	+3.35%	+3.12%	+2.36%	-2.44%	+0.69%
2024	-3.55%	+8.60%	+0.01%	-4.35%	+0.19%	+4.82%	+1.64%	-1.08%	+7.02%	-1.57%	+13.24%	+2.33%
2023	+14.99%	-2.27%	+3.00%	-0.99%	+3.09%	+11.99%	+2.41%	-1.30%	-6.01%	-4.51%	+10.76%	+6.07%
2022	-9.70%	-4.06%	+4.82%	-13.03%	-4.91%	-10.91%	+18.90%	-4.72%	-8.09%	+0.20%	+0.81%	-11.31%
2021	+0.39%	-1.01%	+3.59%	+7.08%	-3.89%	+3.75%	+0.48%	+2.04%	-2.62%	+10.91%	+1.90%	-0.31%
2020	+0.58%	-7.69%	-13.39%	+20.51%	+4.86%	+4.90%	+8.98%	+9.43%	-3.69%	-2.95%	+8.48%	+2.45%
2019	+10.23%	+0.65%	+3.94%	+5.65%	-7.73%	+7.63%	+0.90%	-1.43%	+0.72%	+0.29%	+1.13%	+2.65%
2018	+9.24%	-3.56%	-2.46%	+2.27%	+1.87%	+3.51%	+1.71%	+4.98%	+0.97%	-11.33%	+2.60%	-8.45%
2017	+4.18%	+1.82%	+1.90%	+2.35%	+0.98%	-1.34%	+1.76%	-2.00%	+0.75%	+2.02%	+4.90%	+2.28%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Post-election

91.61%

2000

88.38%

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