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SP500-35
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Election
87.38%
2021
93.05%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.21%
-0.43%
-0.41%
+0.48%
-0.14%
+2.36%
+2.07%
+1.83%
-1.19%
+0.40%
+4.24%
+0.08%
2026
-0.18%
+3.42%
-8.26%
-0.58%
+2.31%
+6.46%
+2.24%
+4.78%
-1.28%
--
2025
+6.61%
+1.38%
-1.85%
-3.83%
-5.72%
+1.88%
-3.44%
+5.25%
+1.62%
+3.45%
+9.14%
-1.51%
2024
+2.84%
+3.11%
+2.23%
-5.19%
+1.76%
+2.49%
+4.99%
-1.82%
-4.73%
+0.13%
-6.36%
2023
-2.02%
-4.72%
+2.06%
+2.95%
-4.44%
+4.19%
+0.86%
-0.80%
-3.10%
-3.33%
+5.23%
+4.14%
2022
-6.90%
-1.13%
+5.39%
-4.79%
+1.28%
-2.84%
+3.18%
-5.88%
-2.74%
+9.58%
+4.66%
-2.05%
-2.21%
+3.74%
+3.87%
+1.73%
+2.19%
+4.74%
+2.28%
-5.70%
+5.08%
-3.13%
+8.84%
2020
-2.88%
-6.79%
-3.98%
+12.50%
-2.53%
+5.20%
+2.55%
-2.29%
-3.79%
+7.77%
2019
+1.04%
+0.35%
-2.55%
+6.50%
-1.72%
-0.69%
-0.32%
+5.00%
+4.85%
+3.44%
2018
+6.56%
-4.63%
-3.21%
+1.12%
+0.02%
+1.51%
+6.48%
+4.18%
+2.80%
-6.78%
+6.83%
-8.72%
2017
+2.15%
+6.21%
-0.56%
+1.46%
+0.61%
+4.49%
+0.67%
+1.64%
-0.84%
+2.70%
-0.76%
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