CBOE 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Index - Seasonality

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CBOE 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Index - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

76.97%

2019

77.78%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	50%	50%	60%	70%	70%	50%	60%	67%	67%	78%	67%
Average return %	-1.04%	+10.01%	+0.89%	-2.57%	-2.40%	-4.88%	+2.56%	+5.37%	+6.45%	+8.32%	-12.68%	+3.72%
2026	+8.18%	-4.66%	+19.79%	-15.52%	-11.72%	-3.68%	+27.56%	-13.21%	+4.12%	--	--	--
2025	-5.14%	+8.09%	-3.30%	+17.44%	-9.71%	-11.16%	-1.55%	-6.05%	+2.87%	-12.24%	+2.25%	-8.26%
2024	-7.24%	-6.76%	-10.28%	+20.26%	-14.77%	+13.32%	-1.52%	-0.77%	+0.97%	+42.99%	-32.17%	+9.25%
2023	-17.67%	+5.54%	+3.53%	-13.74%	+6.67%	-24.68%	+3.94%	+9.81%	+24.65%	+15.82%	-23.30%	-2.34%
2022	+4.61%	+19.70%	+0.38%	+25.36%	-4.64%	-5.70%	-14.59%	+6.83%	+37.86%	-13.21%	-14.99%	+3.92%
2021	-7.59%	+37.46%	-14.47%	-14.89%	-8.40%	+7.98%	+16.92%	-16.41%	+5.84%	+5.89%	+10.12%	-10.32%
2020	+21.82%	+57.85%	+17.75%	-27.68%	-11.22%	-5.25%	+3.81%	+0.69%	-0.74%	+22.39%	-28.80%	+11.13%
2019	-21.43%	-3.84%	+15.86%	-11.64%	+30.14%	-12.31%	-6.09%	+79.25%	-15.74%	-17.77%	-4.04%	+0.58%
2018	+17.92%	-7.76%	-7.01%	-8.67%	+7.74%	-12.64%	+2.08%	-3.65%	+3.01%	+26.30%	-17.99%	+28.21%
2017	-3.87%	-5.54%	-13.40%	+3.34%	-8.09%	+5.28%	-5.01%	-2.78%	-0.67%	+4.70%	-5.22%	+1.35%

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