NASDAQ 100 Total Return Index - Seasonality

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NASDAQ 100 Total Return Index - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	90%	70%	60%	78%	67%	78%	89%	67%	67%	56%	78%	67%
Average return %	+3.40%	-0.42%	-0.13%	+1.57%	+3.10%	+3.29%	+4.09%	+1.90%	-2.05%	+1.23%	+4.36%	-0.19%
2026	+1.23%	-2.26%	-4.81%	+5.67%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+2.25%	-2.69%	-7.61%	+1.55%	+9.13%	+6.34%	+2.41%	+0.92%	+5.47%	+4.81%	-1.57%	-0.67%
2024	+1.89%	+5.41%	+1.23%	-4.43%	+6.39%	+6.27%	-1.59%	+1.18%	+2.57%	-0.82%	+5.31%	+0.46%
2023	+10.67%	-0.37%	+9.54%	+0.52%	+7.73%	+6.55%	+3.84%	-1.50%	-5.02%	-2.04%	+10.82%	+5.56%
2022	-8.49%	-4.54%	+4.28%	-13.34%	-1.53%	-8.94%	+12.60%	-5.11%	-10.55%	+4.01%	+5.62%	-9.01%
2021	+0.32%	-0.04%	+1.47%	+5.92%	-1.40%	+6.65%	+2.82%	+4.25%	-5.69%	+7.94%	+1.88%	+1.19%
2020	+3.01%	-5.78%	-7.57%	+15.23%	+6.31%	+6.37%	+7.41%	+11.16%	-5.67%	-3.16%	+11.10%	+5.11%
2019	+9.16%	+2.94%	+4.03%	+5.50%	-8.25%	+7.69%	+2.36%	-1.86%	+0.83%	+4.37%	+4.10%	+3.99%
2018	+8.70%	-1.22%	-3.94%	+0.41%	+5.68%	+1.09%	+2.76%	+6.00%	-0.29%	-8.62%	-0.09%	-8.83%
2017	+5.25%	+4.37%	+2.05%	+2.76%	+3.88%	-2.40%	+4.17%	+2.03%	-0.12%	+4.55%	+2.06%	+0.52%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Post-election

86.70%

2005

87.30%

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