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Election
77.03%
2020
82.95%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.29%
-0.38%
+2.26%
+5.54%
-1.98%
+6.78%
+2.69%
+1.56%
+3.01%
-1.69%
-0.86%
+1.90%
2026
-11.65%
-4.30%
-11.38%
-10.81%
-12.88%
+19.13%
-3.28%
+0.75%
-2.62%
--
2025
+0.70%
-23.34%
-9.09%
+8.00%
+12.50%
-1.65%
-2.93%
-5.17%
-12.27%
+4.15%
-10.45%
+9.72%
2024
-9.56%
+3.77%
+5.82%
+0.69%
+3.27%
+2.11%
+8.97%
+5.06%
-14.16%
0.00%
2023
+6.79%
+2.47%
-0.69%
-8.97%
-2.27%
+4.65%
+7.41%
+2.07%
-2.36%
+2.09%
2022
-4.12%
-6.44%
+39.45%
+6.43%
+12.09%
-8.09%
+16.27%
+9.63%
+17.99%
+9.57%
-14.24%
2021
-2.50%
+30.77%
-11.76%
+5.56%
-4.74%
+38.12%
+2.22%
-13.41%
-1.26%
+2.97%
-3.12%
+3.23%
+8.75%
+4.60%
-12.64%
-6.92%
-3.38%
-6.99%
+4.41%
+12.68%
2019
-13.90%
+2.48%
+9.09%
+13.89%
-9.27%
-1.61%
+4.92%
-7.29%
+11.80%
-10.05%
-5.03%
+3.53%
2018
-0.82%
+2.52%
+6.56%
+3.85%
+11.11%
+4.94%
+9.41%
-18.82%
+10.60%
+11.98%
2017
-8.80%
-4.39%
-4.59%
+9.62%
-1.75%
+1.79%
+19.30%
+2.21%
-0.72%
-11.59%
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