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Election
72.38%
2024
78.05%
Probability %
Average return %
-8.09%
-0.52%
+0.45%
+3.25%
-5.09%
-3.75%
+0.90%
-1.77%
+4.87%
+3.16%
+0.35%
+7.18%
2026
-16.39%
+1.96%
-6.73%
+11.34%
-20.37%
-5.81%
+9.26%
+3.95%
+5.98%
--
2025
-8.60%
-5.88%
-2.50%
+17.31%
-4.92%
-8.05%
-1.25%
+1.27%
0.00%
-5.00%
+39.47%
+15.09%
-7.27%
-7.19%
-6.34%
+10.53%
-2.72%
-4.90%
+0.74%
+5.11%
+30.56%
+4.79%
-13.20%
+8.77%
2023
-7.69%
-0.93%
-1.89%
-2.88%
+0.99%
-1.96%
-7.00%
-2.69%
-1.10%
-1.12%
-6.78%
2022
-11.90%
-0.90%
+5.45%
-3.45%
+7.14%
+0.88%
-1.74%
+1.80%
+3.54%
2021
-8.33%
+10.00%
-0.83%
-10.83%
-7.94%
+3.55%
+47.64%
-11.35%
+0.80%
2020
-13.25%
+3.05%
+3.70%
-3.57%
-6.67%
+0.79%
+1.57%
-6.20%
-2.48%
-2.54%
+1.74%
+2.56%
2019
-4.93%
-5.93%
+15.75%
+2.04%
-3.33%
-8.97%
+5.30%
-6.47%
-0.77%
-3.88%
+1.61%
+19.84%
2018
-0.60%
+0.60%
-2.40%
-3.07%
-3.80%
+3.29%
-2.55%
+1.31%
-9.68%
-16.43%
+21.37%
2017
-1.90%
-0.65%
-2.52%
-1.94%
-6.58%
-0.70%
+18.44%
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