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Election
84.30%
2024
81.49%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.50%
+0.05%
-2.61%
+0.87%
-3.24%
+7.83%
+2.56%
+4.94%
-2.38%
+1.24%
-6.96%
-0.02%
2026
+0.40%
-6.00%
-24.68%
-3.95%
-7.65%
-10.19%
+5.67%
0.00%
+13.42%
--
2025
+2.94%
-6.67%
+7.14%
-1.90%
+0.97%
-0.96%
+3.88%
+1.87%
+2.75%
-0.89%
+2.70%
-12.63%
+6.04%
+4.43%
-7.27%
-9.80%
+17.39%
+0.62%
+6.75%
+20.69%
+20.00%
-9.63%
+4.51%
2023
-3.38%
+4.37%
-2.09%
+3.85%
-12.35%
-1.88%
+0.48%
-11.43%
-7.53%
-18.02%
2022
-17.52%
+2.58%
+29.71%
-5.65%
-16.24%
-8.57%
+13.84%
-7.45%
-6.36%
+7.24%
-10.55%
+11.79%
2021
-2.01%
+15.07%
+4.76%
+21.02%
-1.41%
+76.19%
-1.35%
-4.79%
-8.63%
-9.45%
-15.13%
+15.78%
2020
-15.15%
-18.90%
+5.26%
+1.43%
+32.39%
+29.79%
+5.74%
+5.43%
-0.74%
+10.37%
2019
-7.69%
-3.33%
-5.17%
-2.73%
-9.35%
-2.06%
-3.68%
-3.83%
-6.25%
-11.52%
-32.19%
2018
+3.51%
-0.85%
-14.53%
+14.00%
-4.39%
-3.67%
-0.95%
2017
-2.19%
-6.72%
-9.60%
+2.65%
+7.27%
+0.21%
-2.56%
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