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Election
73.28%
2008
61.68%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.65%
-1.49%
-5.06%
+8.66%
+0.52%
-3.07%
-0.25%
+1.40%
+0.46%
-1.42%
+3.11%
+7.51%
2026
+27.16%
-5.83%
-27.84%
-10.00%
0.00%
-15.87%
+1.89%
-12.96%
--
2025
+5.62%
-3.19%
-12.09%
-1.25%
+16.46%
-7.61%
-10.59%
+6.58%
-9.88%
-5.48%
-2.90%
+20.90%
2024
-17.39%
-9.02%
+12.40%
+19.85%
+17.18%
-14.66%
-10.43%
-10.27%
-9.16%
-10.92%
+2.83%
-18.35%
2023
+17.57%
-19.54%
-14.76%
+17.32%
-16.19%
+6.82%
-9.57%
-1.18%
+4.76%
-30.68%
+4.92%
+25.78%
2022
-12.36%
+8.33%
-15.68%
+4.56%
+2.35%
-7.21%
-1.06%
-15.00%
-2.94%
+6.93%
-2.83%
-7.50%
2021
-5.66%
+36.80%
-6.43%
+6.25%
+6.76%
-0.28%
-5.26%
-2.34%
+4.79%
-4.00%
+5.95%
2020
-13.33%
-10.77%
+22.41%
-2.82%
+20.29%
+37.35%
+20.18%
-10.22%
+8.13%
+35.34%
+47.22%
2019
-16.00%
+4.55%
+21.74%
-3.57%
+3.70%
-1.79%
+14.55%
+26.98%
+1.25%
-7.41%
2018
-11.29%
-18.18%
-2.22%
+9.09%
-2.08%
-6.38%
-9.09%
+20.00%
-12.50%
+7.14%
+11.11%
2017
-4.17%
+4.35%
+22.22%
-3.41%
-12.94%
-9.46%
+2.99%
+19.40%
-13.75%
-10.14%
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