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Election
84.89%
2010
76.07%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.03%
-4.44%
-6.16%
+4.90%
+1.20%
+0.57%
+1.72%
+3.59%
-4.97%
-0.65%
+5.98%
+4.00%
2026
+1.21%
+0.28%
-8.28%
+3.84%
+0.55%
+3.31%
+3.37%
+0.40%
-5.39%
--
2025
+2.34%
-4.74%
-1.49%
+7.62%
-3.03%
-2.40%
+3.18%
+5.19%
-5.58%
+1.51%
+4.41%
-0.50%
2024
-0.21%
+8.53%
-4.43%
-2.88%
+2.20%
+4.83%
+4.74%
+1.15%
-5.16%
+0.98%
-1.27%
2023
+4.86%
+1.94%
-6.22%
+6.98%
+1.92%
-1.93%
-3.01%
+5.76%
-8.14%
-3.33%
+15.25%
+8.94%
2022
-1.15%
-6.66%
-0.75%
-0.95%
+2.17%
-10.98%
+4.76%
-0.92%
-10.70%
+14.10%
+11.40%
+0.04%
2021
-2.14%
+1.40%
+0.47%
+4.81%
-1.57%
+5.25%
-2.08%
+5.82%
-0.31%
-3.65%
+7.44%
2020
-0.27%
-7.69%
-34.21%
+6.53%
+12.01%
-0.83%
+0.26%
-10.90%
-9.24%
-16.57%
+36.84%
+18.68%
2019
+11.01%
-5.64%
+2.60%
-1.82%
+3.21%
+5.16%
+0.20%
+3.72%
-1.30%
-0.93%
-5.69%
-0.15%
2018
-24.66%
-25.90%
-3.55%
+19.64%
-9.88%
-1.24%
-0.38%
+14.75%
-8.19%
-0.89%
-13.65%
+2.73%
2017
-1.26%
-5.92%
-5.75%
+5.24%
+4.44%
+8.14%
+6.10%
+7.38%
-2.44%
+7.48%
+7.94%
+0.10%
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