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Election
87.25%
2020
83.57%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.23%
-1.63%
+2.60%
+0.13%
-6.66%
-0.47%
+2.07%
+2.22%
+5.17%
-0.80%
-2.25%
+2.82%
2026
+16.67%
+10.95%
-17.88%
+1.74%
-7.19%
-4.06%
-0.77%
+6.98%
-0.36%
--
2025
-4.05%
-3.01%
+5.18%
-5.31%
-2.70%
+1.92%
-1.89%
+4.91%
+5.50%
+3.86%
+2.79%
-2.35%
2024
-6.31%
-4.74%
+2.68%
-3.72%
-10.25%
+1.29%
+6.38%
-3.20%
+3.31%
+3.60%
-2.90%
+3.18%
2023
-2.80%
+0.54%
+8.05%
+1.82%
-6.83%
-0.17%
+6.64%
+0.49%
+8.32%
-8.89%
-2.64%
-0.51%
2022
-5.54%
+1.13%
-3.08%
-4.67%
+2.35%
+16.48%
-0.49%
+3.64%
-8.45%
-0.35%
0.00%
2021
-2.46%
-1.08%
+12.23%
-2.76%
-5.69%
+1.06%
+1.23%
+5.38%
-1.65%
-10.89%
+5.26%
-11.14%
-15.22%
+4.73%
-0.75%
+4.55%
+4.90%
-8.13%
+9.42%
+6.54%
-12.76%
+0.93%
+4.22%
2019
+13.10%
-20.51%
-11.06%
-3.39%
-0.19%
+3.52%
+18.68%
+9.97%
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