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Pre-election
50.38%
2004
80.78%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.75%
-0.72%
-2.90%
-0.51%
+3.70%
+0.77%
+5.42%
+1.37%
+0.51%
-2.43%
+3.43%
+0.06%
2026
-0.47%
+1.73%
-4.95%
-2.28%
-8.33%
-5.45%
-4.23%
+3.41%
-2.14%
--
2025
+2.74%
+2.35%
-12.25%
+0.52%
-4.34%
+1.27%
+22.94%
-0.58%
-5.57%
-6.21%
+8.11%
-2.30%
2024
+9.71%
+0.14%
-3.04%
-11.68%
+17.74%
+27.80%
+3.29%
+5.61%
-12.77%
-4.28%
+6.70%
2023
-0.75%
+3.91%
+2.60%
+4.79%
+25.81%
+1.07%
+10.47%
+0.48%
+11.52%
+2.31%
+9.85%
+0.15%
2022
-2.17%
-1.89%
-1.93%
+2.46%
+3.36%
+2.02%
-0.16%
-0.62%
+0.47%
+4.52%
2021
+3.35%
-6.19%
+20.76%
-4.50%
+0.29%
-4.99%
-1.50%
+1.52%
+6.10%
-4.87%
2020
-7.18%
-3.79%
-14.59%
+11.13%
-1.55%
+8.77%
-1.94%
+13.98%
-1.87%
-2.50%
-4.52%
-1.10%
2019
+7.22%
-3.52%
-0.17%
-2.33%
+1.53%
-0.50%
-0.84%
-0.85%
+2.92%
+7.83%
+13.60%
-7.07%
2018
+0.24%
-1.43%
-7.26%
+0.65%
+1.43%
-0.26%
-6.91%
-4.40%
-5.04%
-6.51%
-0.33%
-5.37%
2017
+4.80%
-0.92%
-8.19%
+0.57%
+2.00%
+1.68%
+6.34%
-0.91%
-3.01%
+0.94%
+1.87%
+9.84%
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