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Election
86.93%
2015
89.44%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.72%
+0.12%
-0.20%
-2.25%
+3.91%
+3.36%
-8.28%
+2.69%
+9.18%
-9.06%
+0.34%
+4.32%
2026
+2.92%
+5.52%
-8.99%
-11.80%
-5.65%
-3.12%
-49.58%
+4.93%
-8.51%
--
2025
-2.02%
-11.55%
+8.67%
+6.33%
+4.75%
+9.03%
-4.96%
-0.16%
-1.14%
-7.21%
+15.78%
+5.54%
2024
+11.80%
+11.21%
+12.57%
-15.07%
-5.09%
-2.75%
+3.09%
-10.43%
+18.92%
-12.85%
-7.16%
-14.67%
2023
+1.17%
-2.41%
+4.94%
+6.40%
-3.80%
+18.93%
+5.60%
+12.33%
-0.49%
-3.18%
-4.06%
+19.45%
2022
-6.38%
+6.10%
+5.58%
-5.39%
+7.05%
+24.24%
-2.46%
-5.87%
+10.85%
-11.67%
+15.33%
-16.07%
2021
+1.31%
+20.33%
-7.06%
-3.47%
+11.96%
+1.01%
-3.67%
+3.12%
+24.72%
-15.69%
-11.78%
+7.98%
2020
+7.40%
-24.05%
-17.49%
-3.46%
+19.97%
-19.74%
-17.55%
+17.98%
+0.96%
+3.52%
-10.27%
+5.83%
2019
-3.25%
+0.68%
-2.15%
+9.49%
+0.32%
+17.80%
-4.74%
-0.33%
+14.17%
-17.44%
-5.89%
+27.60%
2018
-13.17%
-8.56%
+2.13%
-8.14%
-0.88%
-8.30%
-6.31%
-4.56%
+2.28%
-13.09%
+8.62%
-19.09%
2017
-6.99%
-0.17%
+2.57%
+10.46%
-3.51%
-2.24%
+9.88%
+12.35%
-3.92%
+2.45%
+22.33%
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