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Election
89.30%
2020
88.84%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.70%
+0.26%
+0.03%
+4.63%
+0.09%
+6.75%
+3.63%
+0.43%
-2.07%
-1.93%
+6.41%
-3.56%
2026
-7.53%
-0.73%
-10.64%
+3.22%
-12.86%
+0.06%
+4.98%
+58.90%
-5.42%
--
2025
-4.72%
-1.89%
+0.57%
+0.50%
+9.44%
-2.83%
+4.57%
+12.10%
+15.42%
-0.10%
+12.93%
-3.17%
2024
+1.80%
+16.22%
-1.66%
-0.74%
+2.81%
+6.05%
+3.60%
-7.80%
-4.84%
+1.12%
+17.59%
-5.53%
2023
+0.16%
-1.49%
+0.05%
-3.68%
-4.44%
+6.18%
-6.43%
-19.37%
-1.18%
-9.67%
+11.19%
-13.47%
2022
-14.85%
+2.80%
+2.01%
-7.22%
+1.70%
-8.16%
-0.61%
-1.12%
-9.61%
+14.38%
-7.52%
2021
+0.52%
+3.79%
+31.51%
-22.19%
-14.26%
-8.70%
-9.83%
-16.42%
-13.74%
-13.41%
-10.11%
+4.71%
-8.82%
-26.85%
-15.22%
+48.28%
+5.58%
+55.59%
+22.26%
+12.42%
+0.33%
+12.76%
+23.79%
-9.69%
2019
+31.01%
+14.20%
+4.32%
+17.55%
-5.35%
+6.70%
+7.11%
-40.89%
+8.02%
-3.87%
+11.62%
-8.25%
2018
+0.47%
-5.16%
-4.79%
+10.40%
+21.35%
+11.90%
+11.68%
+7.66%
-10.58%
-13.12%
-6.31%
+2.25%
2017
+8.94%
+1.67%
-5.88%
+0.15%
-3.05%
+0.75%
-1.04%
-1.20%
-2.43%
-5.45%
-3.53%
+8.61%
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