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Election
87.14%
2008
94.00%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.41%
+1.11%
-4.19%
+4.64%
+0.26%
-0.59%
-0.90%
+2.75%
-0.20%
+0.55%
+3.25%
+0.54%
2026
+6.88%
+31.47%
-16.96%
+21.66%
+14.64%
-2.07%
-5.57%
-7.16%
-6.76%
--
2025
+4.49%
-10.80%
+1.05%
-1.49%
+3.89%
+6.34%
+8.31%
+10.84%
-3.75%
+1.24%
+0.81%
-0.32%
2024
+9.18%
+3.58%
+3.37%
+0.52%
+2.52%
+0.34%
+0.59%
-16.08%
-2.83%
+4.08%
-4.91%
+6.55%
2023
+12.38%
+6.63%
-0.08%
+2.10%
+5.46%
+6.00%
-1.10%
+10.48%
-2.56%
-3.62%
+2.24%
-0.84%
2022
-3.34%
-7.99%
+7.01%
-6.46%
+1.97%
-3.58%
+7.02%
+2.81%
-10.57%
+6.73%
+4.87%
-5.83%
2021
+3.71%
+9.87%
-4.42%
-4.13%
-1.61%
-3.52%
-0.45%
-0.18%
+4.30%
-3.61%
-5.26%
+7.15%
2020
-6.96%
-13.33%
-15.38%
+15.24%
-2.24%
-8.32%
-19.52%
+33.15%
+4.03%
-7.84%
+11.16%
+12.62%
2019
+10.53%
+7.23%
-6.49%
+12.88%
-9.39%
+8.30%
-0.41%
-8.36%
+5.15%
+6.79%
-1.85%
+2.46%
2018
+5.35%
-11.14%
-10.03%
+1.93%
-10.10%
-10.05%
+4.98%
+6.26%
-12.28%
+15.79%
-19.81%
2017
+1.84%
-4.44%
+0.08%
+4.17%
-2.57%
+0.62%
-2.85%
-4.28%
+2.32%
+13.44%
+6.42%
+2.88%
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