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Election
57.39%
2016
68.40%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.76%
-2.80%
-4.09%
-1.16%
+4.14%
+1.45%
-2.58%
-2.01%
+4.53%
-0.49%
-4.29%
-3.85%
2026
+3.19%
+0.52%
-5.38%
+1.90%
-0.27%
+0.80%
+1.59%
0.00%
-1.82%
--
2025
+5.82%
-0.25%
-0.77%
+1.55%
-0.76%
+1.28%
-1.52%
-2.31%
-0.52%
-0.79%
2024
+11.51%
-8.01%
-3.02%
-3.11%
+0.53%
+2.48%
-0.87%
-3.14%
-4.14%
-4.89%
-19.96%
-6.67%
2023
-0.45%
+15.42%
+12.18%
+7.53%
-11.07%
+9.52%
+2.34%
-8.33%
+4.10%
-2.74%
+3.70%
-1.19%
2022
+3.52%
-10.92%
+2.72%
-5.84%
+37.18%
+4.11%
-7.89%
-8.99%
+5.65%
+4.01%
-2.36%
-2.85%
2021
+0.29%
+17.54%
+5.47%
-7.08%
+7.87%
+3.06%
-9.59%
+1.26%
+20.95%
-2.47%
-17.34%
+1.79%
2020
+0.79%
-31.15%
-26.43%
-5.43%
+16.94%
-12.85%
-16.62%
+14.47%
+3.09%
-1.63%
+1.94%
-7.34%
2019
+3.72%
+0.68%
-1.87%
-5.02%
+12.39%
+10.53%
+3.67%
-20.79%
+8.93%
+14.43%
+6.59%
+1.88%
2018
+5.89%
-8.85%
-8.51%
+3.84%
-20.06%
-2.68%
-1.13%
+5.19%
+2.17%
-8.48%
-8.24%
-20.90%
2017
-6.72%
-3.00%
-14.08%
+1.62%
-1.33%
-1.97%
+3.48%
-1.06%
+1.52%
-0.35%
-2.39%
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