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Election
93.09%
2016
93.74%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.23%
+3.20%
-4.65%
+0.73%
-5.63%
+3.00%
-3.16%
+0.89%
+1.91%
+0.57%
+5.98%
+0.13%
2026
-1.26%
+23.84%
-19.09%
-4.42%
+0.51%
+1.23%
+14.56%
+12.97%
-1.56%
--
2025
+11.79%
-7.69%
-5.62%
+1.29%
-3.62%
0.00%
-2.85%
+5.23%
-1.79%
+1.21%
+3.50%
-0.68%
2024
+15.09%
-10.34%
-3.60%
+3.43%
-9.06%
+11.91%
-27.08%
+0.10%
-9.03%
+0.11%
+12.09%
+0.58%
2023
+6.43%
+14.71%
-8.40%
+5.42%
-14.15%
+8.20%
-5.02%
-9.68%
-0.69%
-4.50%
+17.26%
+17.66%
2022
-7.09%
+2.70%
+4.49%
+6.37%
-4.04%
-3.19%
+3.60%
-4.20%
-1.66%
+6.76%
+45.90%
+5.82%
2021
-3.77%
+4.31%
+14.85%
-3.93%
-4.77%
+0.18%
-0.36%
+0.72%
+33.81%
+13.56%
-19.44%
-1.60%
2020
-7.66%
-21.75%
-16.90%
+2.59%
+2.34%
+3.52%
-13.61%
+8.86%
+6.87%
-12.86%
+5.05%
-2.03%
2019
+4.22%
+13.17%
+5.91%
-0.17%
-7.96%
-0.91%
-13.47%
-2.97%
+6.33%
-4.41%
-3.22%
2018
+3.87%
+13.97%
-13.60%
+6.10%
-4.70%
+5.44%
-1.77%
+10.51%
-4.46%
-13.84%
+1.81%
-16.05%
2017
-0.93%
-4.55%
-9.38%
-10.90%
+1.39%
+1.80%
-2.10%
-2.92%
+8.40%
-7.91%
+0.71%
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