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Election
74.92%
2020
73.34%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.95%
-0.63%
+11.58%
+6.73%
+2.60%
+7.09%
+4.33%
-9.11%
+8.28%
-4.30%
+10.31%
-7.35%
2026
-8.36%
-34.16%
-43.07%
+17.41%
-35.13%
+7.75%
+1.12%
+13.37%
-7.90%
--
2025
-0.28%
+0.76%
-13.16%
+6.98%
+38.35%
+44.24%
+3.05%
-6.31%
+2.89%
-5.99%
+32.56%
-14.14%
2024
+8.11%
+2.36%
+9.77%
-1.11%
+3.00%
+14.68%
+13.33%
-2.05%
-0.10%
-6.30%
+21.49%
+21.04%
2023
-3.19%
-7.69%
+11.19%
-2.57%
+9.67%
+23.75%
-2.75%
-23.48%
-0.44%
-14.21%
-8.66%
-7.11%
2022
-23.49%
+5.10%
+11.54%
-0.37%
-27.48%
-17.87%
+15.92%
-42.89%
-12.50%
+7.47%
+6.04%
-10.73%
2021
-6.40%
+60.97%
+12.57%
-6.92%
+5.91%
-6.41%
-6.27%
+20.18%
-3.63%
+27.32%
-12.95%
-15.10%
-12.37%
-33.62%
-12.47%
+53.66%
+32.66%
+18.54%
+8.97%
+16.99%
+38.78%
-23.59%
+24.43%
+14.33%
2019
+6.37%
+1.25%
+116.24%
-13.27%
-6.21%
-27.95%
+11.56%
-39.70%
+47.00%
-5.63%
+18.58%
-0.25%
2018
-18.10%
-5.75%
-13.47%
+1.02%
-46.84%
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