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Election
71.21%
2012
86.03%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.52%
+2.32%
-1.61%
-1.22%
+9.17%
+10.32%
+0.74%
+9.47%
-5.98%
+0.13%
+4.11%
-6.99%
2026
+2.59%
-5.54%
-17.07%
-6.45%
+8.54%
+43.57%
-29.19%
+5.21%
-4.67%
--
2025
-36.44%
-4.32%
+8.34%
-2.59%
-7.26%
-2.26%
+14.50%
-23.08%
-0.81%
-4.48%
-1.60%
-12.24%
2024
+8.05%
+9.67%
+7.26%
-13.54%
+33.50%
+27.93%
+33.71%
+1.62%
-29.49%
-6.53%
+2.48%
+3.76%
2023
+26.34%
-12.12%
+3.23%
-3.49%
-8.98%
+16.58%
+18.80%
+1.09%
+14.09%
-1.03%
+7.97%
-13.24%
2022
-11.09%
-8.17%
+9.13%
-7.30%
-1.62%
+10.47%
+6.18%
-1.10%
-10.95%
+1.82%
-1.12%
-17.99%
2021
+5.41%
+50.85%
-12.84%
-6.50%
+27.46%
-5.18%
-1.82%
+77.83%
-31.80%
-4.35%
+1.26%
-13.05%
2020
-21.40%
-28.32%
-17.17%
+4.77%
+24.52%
+19.41%
-26.74%
+5.79%
+10.33%
-7.02%
+1.48%
-2.77%
2019
+5.72%
+2.91%
-1.66%
-0.79%
-17.66%
+7.27%
+7.80%
+13.52%
-3.97%
+6.15%
-6.79%
+13.51%
2018
-0.88%
+18.60%
+3.89%
+24.88%
+32.40%
-9.72%
-14.16%
+0.66%
-20.06%
+34.67%
-17.05%
2017
-3.51%
-0.40%
+0.81%
-1.21%
-4.85%
-1.70%
+13.17%
-0.19%
+36.71%
-1.40%
-3.83%
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