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Election
81.31%
2008
87.83%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.18%
-0.20%
-2.50%
-0.41%
+3.44%
+2.39%
+2.24%
-2.30%
+0.80%
+4.64%
+0.15%
+4.12%
2026
+0.75%
+10.81%
-14.09%
+10.78%
+6.77%
+5.72%
-10.75%
+4.71%
+1.38%
--
2025
-1.15%
-3.38%
-4.64%
-2.66%
+15.26%
+3.09%
+3.51%
+1.05%
+0.31%
+3.25%
2024
-2.56%
-3.18%
-2.72%
+0.45%
-1.75%
-0.72%
+7.29%
-3.46%
-0.77%
+2.97%
+0.19%
+3.06%
2023
+13.52%
+5.29%
+10.20%
-10.87%
+3.54%
+10.47%
-7.24%
-2.62%
-2.55%
+1.35%
+5.38%
+17.35%
2022
-1.26%
+0.18%
+3.38%
-9.36%
+7.99%
+6.59%
+16.17%
-2.41%
-10.60%
+3.59%
+0.56%
-9.22%
2021
+3.18%
-0.10%
+2.06%
+4.44%
+2.12%
-3.02%
-0.58%
-4.90%
+8.45%
-2.38%
-7.40%
+16.40%
2020
-14.99%
-10.77%
-0.12%
+0.24%
+12.29%
-7.37%
-3.52%
+2.17%
+3.47%
+1.62%
+0.32%
2019
+20.44%
+4.27%
-4.22%
+3.30%
-12.31%
+5.40%
-1.41%
-10.91%
+9.33%
+24.67%
+2.35%
+16.41%
2018
+3.14%
-3.50%
-10.96%
-7.79%
+4.61%
-5.05%
-2.80%
-6.97%
-0.21%
-11.47%
+0.48%
-18.07%
2017
-9.30%
-1.57%
-3.92%
+7.40%
-4.16%
+8.80%
+21.75%
-3.65%
-0.87%
+18.51%
-2.15%
+7.60%
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