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Election
81.74%
2016
84.64%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.89%
+5.77%
-3.49%
+8.49%
-2.79%
+1.63%
+3.65%
-4.64%
-2.75%
+1.88%
+1.08%
+4.88%
2026
-8.89%
-7.32%
-10.53%
+8.82%
+5.41%
-5.13%
0.00%
+13.51%
-2.38%
--
2025
-9.43%
-16.67%
+2.50%
-4.88%
+2.56%
-5.00%
+5.26%
-10.00%
+2.78%
+2.38%
+4.65%
2024
-2.17%
+2.22%
+13.04%
+7.69%
+1.79%
+22.81%
-1.43%
-15.94%
-1.72%
-7.02%
-5.66%
+6.00%
2023
-2.00%
-12.24%
+2.33%
+4.55%
-4.35%
+6.82%
-10.64%
+6.98%
2022
-3.17%
-1.64%
-1.67%
-6.78%
+12.73%
-3.23%
+14.00%
-8.77%
+1.92%
2021
-16.98%
+61.36%
-11.27%
+38.10%
-8.05%
+15.00%
-6.52%
-12.79%
-9.33%
+2.94%
-11.43%
+1.61%
2020
-4.00%
-12.50%
-23.81%
+31.25%
+19.05%
-16.00%
+28.57%
+22.22%
-18.18%
+66.67%
+17.78%
2019
+11.54%
+3.45%
-3.33%
-7.41%
+8.00%
-11.11%
-4.17%
-3.85%
2018
-2.08%
-8.51%
-6.98%
+2.86%
-2.78%
-14.29%
-3.70%
2017
+5.00%
+8.62%
+11.11%
-7.14%
-3.08%
-1.59%
-11.29%
+1.82%
+5.36%
-22.03%
+8.70%
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