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Election
70.49%
2020
69.19%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.17%
+0.58%
-0.60%
+5.95%
-0.63%
-3.42%
+4.41%
+6.36%
-4.78%
+8.78%
-0.80%
-2.15%
2026
+19.63%
-8.33%
-10.20%
+29.34%
-21.33%
-17.36%
-23.46%
+35.31%
-13.52%
--
2025
+1.65%
+4.33%
-15.56%
+11.21%
+0.14%
+10.34%
+12.38%
-4.45%
-3.38%
+73.73%
-20.67%
-14.07%
2024
-24.50%
+8.53%
-3.77%
-10.59%
-5.41%
-2.31%
-13.65%
-3.55%
+1.00%
-7.78%
-26.12%
-11.66%
2023
+9.02%
+5.88%
-0.79%
-22.52%
-2.01%
+1.48%
-1.09%
-20.94%
-13.08%
-24.52%
+9.11%
+2.23%
2022
-26.33%
+10.20%
+19.43%
-17.31%
-3.33%
-22.98%
+13.46%
-3.81%
-21.49%
+22.60%
+10.25%
-9.42%
2021
+0.33%
-12.46%
+1.56%
+11.49%
-7.77%
+9.38%
+23.33%
+7.22%
+8.88%
+7.48%
+21.75%
+1.10%
+12.01%
-4.06%
-21.75%
+40.00%
-2.67%
+34.72%
+33.66%
+3.59%
-12.92%
+20.77%
+1.84%
2019
+26.26%
+16.67%
-5.37%
-3.23%
-10.40%
+7.44%
-9.00%
+2.89%
-20.71%
+14.93%
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