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Election
84.61%
2000
70.38%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.09%
+1.04%
-2.91%
+8.16%
+1.61%
-4.61%
+0.28%
-2.42%
-1.93%
-2.24%
+5.58%
-0.51%
2026
+0.67%
+14.12%
-16.74%
+16.35%
-19.23%
+2.33%
-1.09%
+0.18%
+1.19%
--
2025
0.00%
-3.72%
+1.29%
+5.29%
+3.92%
+7.83%
-3.32%
-5.19%
-1.47%
+0.10%
+17.56%
+0.93%
2024
-1.84%
+1.22%
-6.96%
-0.30%
-3.60%
-1.76%
-2.01%
-1.51%
-7.11%
+4.83%
+2.92%
+5.79%
2023
+3.81%
-6.88%
-3.55%
-0.72%
+1.44%
+1.32%
+2.40%
+1.47%
-6.35%
+9.04%
+2.26%
2022
+15.08%
+27.24%
+11.65%
+8.50%
+8.72%
-30.45%
+2.96%
-11.78%
-22.80%
-6.75%
+16.29%
-18.29%
2021
-8.84%
+0.44%
+7.02%
+7.38%
+0.38%
+6.84%
-8.19%
-0.39%
+11.28%
-6.29%
-16.79%
+13.00%
2020
-7.30%
-15.83%
-18.04%
+22.15%
+18.68%
-11.76%
+22.25%
+2.58%
+0.42%
+2.08%
+1.63%
2019
+5.86%
-6.51%
-1.05%
+5.28%
-11.04%
+3.01%
-5.11%
-7.31%
+1.24%
-2.05%
-2.51%
2018
+7.92%
-4.28%
-3.83%
+9.97%
+3.93%
-16.57%
-3.48%
+4.33%
+2.42%
-11.82%
+14.18%
-2.68%
2017
-4.44%
+4.65%
+1.11%
+7.69%
+12.93%
-6.93%
-1.62%
-6.58%
-1.41%
+8.21%
+4.95%
-4.72%
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