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Election
80.04%
2002
86.77%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.56%
+0.90%
-2.36%
+5.03%
+1.10%
-1.72%
+0.23%
-3.05%
-3.36%
+0.01%
-2.60%
+0.46%
2026
-2.82%
+16.71%
-11.18%
+15.72%
-16.35%
-7.09%
-3.19%
+18.06%
-5.64%
--
2025
+15.08%
-5.03%
-5.37%
+8.37%
+4.67%
+10.89%
-5.74%
-5.50%
-3.84%
+0.85%
+6.14%
-0.86%
2024
-0.75%
-1.78%
+3.41%
-2.07%
-4.18%
-2.38%
-5.52%
-0.43%
+0.31%
-4.62%
-10.13%
-9.55%
2023
+6.57%
+4.79%
-1.09%
-0.22%
+3.98%
-5.53%
-4.28%
-1.18%
-1.67%
-9.54%
-0.16%
2022
+6.99%
+2.18%
+4.27%
+1.14%
+12.36%
-9.20%
+16.74%
-8.30%
-16.87%
-0.99%
+1.25%
+1.48%
2021
-1.02%
+5.90%
+8.47%
+8.04%
+15.70%
-4.11%
-3.54%
-15.83%
-6.42%
+2.45%
-13.40%
+6.63%
2020
+3.03%
-6.15%
-16.81%
+13.01%
-0.30%
-1.52%
+6.48%
+4.93%
-5.80%
+10.26%
+6.12%
+3.68%
2019
+1.07%
-3.98%
-1.38%
+1.68%
-1.93%
+2.53%
+13.97%
-13.94%
-0.56%
-0.84%
-0.28%
+3.13%
2018
+3.67%
+0.21%
-2.29%
+4.04%
-0.61%
-11.32%
-9.05%
+0.26%
+9.41%
-11.63%
-5.00%
+3.32%
2017
+13.79%
-3.85%
-1.60%
+0.61%
+1.82%
+0.99%
-5.43%
-5.32%
+6.29%
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