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Election
84.15%
2000
86.44%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.26%
+4.95%
-1.21%
+15.28%
-1.84%
-0.26%
-2.65%
-3.56%
-4.29%
-3.02%
-0.38%
+0.14%
2026
-1.14%
+6.94%
-7.16%
+14.70%
-20.69%
-4.32%
+3.85%
+11.27%
-1.74%
--
2025
+0.86%
-4.11%
-4.44%
+7.43%
+2.88%
+4.48%
+0.67%
-5.59%
+1.97%
-8.01%
+5.11%
2024
-13.00%
-4.50%
-6.52%
-0.11%
-4.62%
-1.80%
-0.80%
-9.36%
+6.25%
-5.88%
-6.76%
-4.38%
2023
+12.63%
+21.23%
+2.29%
+7.68%
-7.28%
+25.00%
-15.38%
-4.85%
-6.05%
+7.03%
-1.48%
2022
+4.89%
+22.03%
+19.44%
+15.70%
-7.54%
-20.83%
+14.30%
-9.11%
-17.62%
+3.07%
+27.63%
-9.04%
2021
+14.81%
+9.34%
+12.11%
+60.66%
-7.07%
+2.04%
-6.73%
-11.99%
-3.92%
-25.22%
+11.57%
2020
-5.43%
-16.27%
-19.43%
+27.30%
+18.38%
-7.53%
+10.18%
-2.54%
+3.08%
-0.69%
+10.19%
+7.77%
2019
+20.26%
-5.13%
-6.95%
+5.39%
+14.17%
-3.79%
-15.23%
-8.25%
+8.99%
-5.07%
-4.90%
+3.51%
2018
+1.43%
-1.72%
+13.67%
-6.29%
-6.87%
-9.94%
+7.30%
-5.47%
-20.53%
+9.93%
-8.84%
2017
+11.00%
+18.53%
+0.24%
+0.36%
-0.36%
-7.41%
-2.47%
-23.04%
+9.25%
-13.34%
-2.98%
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