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Election
89.74%
2008
85.63%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.09%
-0.51%
-5.02%
+3.41%
+0.76%
+9.07%
-0.03%
-0.49%
-0.70%
+4.53%
+0.65%
+3.24%
2026
-1.90%
+1.49%
-4.40%
+2.91%
+2.83%
+0.29%
-2.31%
+0.59%
-2.21%
--
2025
-4.83%
+0.72%
+2.14%
-7.69%
+6.82%
-1.42%
0.00%
-0.14%
-4.03%
-0.60%
+3.47%
2024
-6.59%
+18.24%
-1.29%
-0.40%
-6.68%
+12.26%
+4.83%
+2.30%
-3.60%
+20.56%
+11.63%
+0.69%
2023
+10.30%
-7.83%
-0.65%
+9.87%
+15.27%
+8.05%
-11.78%
+2.45%
-1.60%
+4.32%
+17.88%
2022
+7.90%
-12.68%
-4.19%
-1.01%
-1.70%
+4.15%
+2.33%
-0.32%
-7.82%
+7.77%
-2.62%
+1.35%
2021
+3.05%
+1.48%
-2.55%
+10.11%
+2.04%
+11.00%
-3.12%
+3.22%
+7.48%
-6.67%
+2.17%
2020
-2.61%
-12.26%
-26.86%
+14.93%
-2.86%
+28.88%
-8.30%
+12.67%
-9.64%
+10.67%
+2.01%
+3.15%
2019
+1.06%
-2.10%
-0.36%
+1.79%
+4.58%
+0.67%
-4.35%
-7.34%
-1.89%
+4.23%
-4.43%
2018
+3.25%
-7.33%
+8.70%
+4.49%
-1.75%
+5.34%
+5.74%
-10.22%
+0.71%
2017
+1.23%
-7.51%
+3.93%
+4.28%
-1.45%
+6.87%
+6.19%
-3.24%
+5.36%
+5.93%
+2.20%
-3.72%
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