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Election
71.96%
2008
84.05%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.41%
-2.18%
-4.24%
+6.34%
+0.17%
-0.15%
-6.77%
-0.37%
-2.45%
+1.08%
+5.12%
+1.48%
2026
-2.10%
-7.24%
-7.23%
+12.46%
+0.97%
+1.10%
+5.29%
+2.32%
-4.41%
--
2025
+8.43%
+1.71%
-8.29%
+4.10%
+0.41%
-0.27%
-90.24%
+1.67%
+3.42%
+0.66%
+2.76%
-2.68%
2024
-3.52%
-3.35%
-1.06%
+8.54%
-0.56%
-1.84%
+5.47%
-2.32%
-3.91%
-4.36%
+2.43%
+3.86%
2023
-0.69%
+0.98%
-6.35%
+5.90%
-6.41%
-3.27%
+4.77%
-2.35%
+1.05%
-6.70%
+12.76%
+0.57%
2022
-10.07%
-4.92%
+1.72%
+4.80%
+4.45%
-10.58%
+9.24%
-5.68%
-11.48%
+7.12%
+12.85%
-5.50%
2021
-5.56%
-0.74%
-2.04%
+12.67%
+1.68%
+5.78%
+1.87%
+4.13%
+0.88%
+6.27%
-3.57%
+15.79%
2020
-1.92%
-15.30%
+9.45%
+0.38%
-2.06%
+0.19%
-1.90%
-4.47%
+10.77%
+9.17%
-3.19%
2019
+5.49%
-0.67%
+0.68%
+2.68%
-3.76%
+3.74%
-0.16%
-0.33%
-1.15%
+3.35%
+1.46%
2018
-0.71%
-3.04%
-2.39%
+2.45%
+0.18%
+3.31%
0.00%
+2.85%
-3.98%
-1.08%
+3.83%
-0.88%
2017
+6.56%
+1.85%
-2.17%
+0.36%
+4.38%
+2.57%
-4.09%
-2.05%
-2.38%
-2.29%
+2.49%
+3.91%
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